Prominent pollster Frank Luntz has sounded the alarm for Democrats, cautioning that Donald Trump could potentially win Minnesota, a state historically considered a Democratic stronghold. Despite facing significant legal challenges, Trump continues to defy conventional political expectations.
“To me, it’s not that Donald Trump is winning so big in Iowa. That’s not the story. It’s that he’s making it close in Minnesota,” Luntz remarked. “Minnesota is a reliable Democratic state. It votes Democrat in every presidential campaign. In poll after poll, I see Trump within two or three points in Minnesota.”
Minnesota, traditionally a bastion for Democratic candidates in presidential elections, is now seeing a tightening race, according to Luntz’s data. This is raising alarms for Democrats who might have considered the state a secure part of their electoral map.
“I don’t think the media understands exactly what’s going on right now,” Luntz continued. “Yes, Trump dropped a few points after being found guilty on 34 felony counts. But remember this, that would have destroyed any candidate as recently as 10 years ago. And the fact that Donald Trump is still even with, or in some cases leading Joe Biden after being found guilty of 34 felonies. Oh my God, that is so significant.”
WATCH:
'Oh My God': Frank Luntz Impressed Trump 'Making It Close' Race In 'Reliable' Dem State After Conviction pic.twitter.com/k8W5MJFRJo
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) June 19, 2024
Luntz’s comments highlight Trump’s remarkable resilience. Despite numerous legal hurdles and ongoing controversies, Trump’s support base remains robust. Last month, a jury in New York convicted Trump on 34 counts of falsifying business records to influence the 2016 presidential election. This historic conviction marks the first time a former president has been found guilty of a crime. Nevertheless, Trump’s political influence and ability to rally supporters remain formidable.
“And one more point, I’m watching the independent vote. I don’t believe that they’re swinging back and forth between Trump and Biden. I think that they decided that they hate both candidates. They hate both parties and they’re voting out of anger, out of desperation, out of resentment,” Luntz noted. “So be very careful in how you analyze what goes on from now through the debates, through the election, because I think there could be a hidden anger vote that surprises everyone on election day.”
This potential “hidden anger vote” among disillusioned independent voters could play a pivotal role in the upcoming election, possibly altering expected outcomes in key states like Minnesota.
In an unprecedented move, Biden and Trump are scheduled for an early debate next Thursday, well ahead of the typical election season confrontations. This debate will be hosted by CNN, rather than the traditional Commission on Presidential Debates.
On Monday, the Biden campaign launched a hard-hitting ad targeting battleground states, branding Trump as a self-serving felon. This aggressive strategy seems to have resolved an internal debate among Democrats on whether to prominently feature Trump’s legal troubles in their tightly contested race for the White House this November.
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