Chuck Schumer’s falling approval ratings among Democrats present a significant challenge that could reshape the political landscape leading up to 2028. CNN analysts are raising alarms, with chief data analyst Harry Enten calling Schumer the “least popular guy for a Democrat Senate leader going all the way back to at least the mid-1980s.” This stark criticism underscores a fracture within the party that is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.
The data reveals a troubling picture. Schumer is underwater with a net approval rating of minus four points among Democrats. This means that more party members view him unfavorably than favorably. Enten noted, “He’s underwater with Democrats, his own party,” and highlighted that no Democratic leader has faced such low approval in the last four decades. Schumer’s unfavorability rises to nearly half of the general public, according to Pew Research data. This level of disapproval represents a serious issue for any senator aiming to retain leadership.
Democrats are growing impatient with Schumer’s leadership style. A substantial majority—57%—of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents want to see their party actively working against Republican policies. Instead, many perceive Schumer as too willing to negotiate, which has led to frustration among his ranks. During the recent government shutdown, which extended into early January 2024, Schumer’s inability to unify his caucus further eroded his standing. Notably, eight Senate Democrats broke away to negotiate with Republicans, undermining his leadership stance and leaving some in the House to place direct blame on him.
Rep. Seth Moulton of Massachusetts remarked, “If Schumer were an effective leader, he would have united his caucus to vote ‘No’ tonight and hold the line on healthcare.” This sentiment echoed throughout the party, with Rep. Ro Khanna stating bluntly, “Senator Schumer is no longer effective and should be replaced.” Even Rep. Mike Levin expressed that Schumer “has not met this moment,” calling for a change in leadership. These statements indicate a growing consensus that his approach is no longer meeting the needs of the party.
Even in his home state of New York, Schumer’s position appears precarious. Polls indicate he has a modest +16-point net favorability among New York Democrats, which pales in comparison to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who reportedly leads him by 30 points among the same demographic. Enten highlighted this discrepancy, suggesting that if Ocasio-Cortez were to challenge Schumer in 2028, she would be a strong contender. Such dynamics could upend the established hierarchy within the Democratic Party.
A broader trend is also emerging within the Democratic electorate. Since Joe Biden took office, the party’s favorability has plummeted. A CNN-SSRS poll revealed that only 29% of Americans view the Democratic Party favorably, a stark decline from 49% at the beginning of Biden’s term. Among Democrats, only 63% express favorable views of their party, down significantly from 81% in early 2021. This stark reduction suggests a disconnect between party leadership and the base, fueling discontent and calls for change.
This ongoing struggle has led to perceptions of a party “civil war.” Many party members are voicing a desire for more assertive leadership rather than a conciliatory approach. “The word of the day is terrible—terrible, terrible, terrible—to quote Charles Barkley,” Enten remarked, aptly capturing the sentiment surrounding Schumer’s current status. The consequences of his declining influence may threaten party unity in future legislative battles, as seen in the recent healthcare negotiations where progressives felt sidelined.
Younger progressives are increasingly frustrated with the leadership, demanding swift and decisive action rather than traditional compromise. This shift signals a generational clash between those who prefer negotiation and those who seek bold reforms. The implications of these changing expectations on the political dynamics within the Democratic Party could be profound, driving significant shifts in upcoming elections.
As it stands, Schumer retains his position on Capitol Hill, with few senators publicly calling for his resignation. Supporters, like Sen. Brian Schatz, cite his efforts in negotiations, saying, “I’ve been in many of those rooms, and he fought like hell.” However, these defenses highlight the growing rift: if his party feels he hasn’t effectively fought for their interests, it may spell trouble for his leadership. Ultimately, electoral outcomes will hinge not just on the negotiations of today, but on who can maintain their support leading into 2028.
Polling reflects a disconcerting reality. A clear majority of Democrats are clamoring for confrontation over cooperation, while a significant portion cannot even identify a reliable leader. As Schumer’s net approval dips to levels not seen since the 1980s, the call for change seems louder than ever.
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