Former Michigan GOP co-chair Bernadette Smith is positioning herself for a possible Senate run, having filed the necessary paperwork with the Federal Election Commission. This move signals her intent to challenge Trump-backed candidate Mike Rogers for the open Senate seat. Smith resigned from her state party leadership just last week, perhaps indicating her desire to shift her focus entirely to the campaign ahead.
If Smith formally announces her candidacy, she enters a competitive GOP primary that already features Rogers, a former congressman. Rogers comes into the race with significant backing, including endorsements from President Donald Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC). The stakes are high in Michigan, particularly as both the state’s open seat and a Democrat-held seat in swing state New Hampshire are key targets for the NRSC aiming to expand its slim Senate majority.
Rogers previously won the 2024 GOP Senate nomination in Michigan but fell short in his attempt to secure the seat last November. He lost narrowly to Rep. Elissa Slotkin, the Democratic nominee, succeeding longtime Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow, who chose retirement over re-election. After receiving Trump’s endorsement in July, Rogers expressed confidence. He stated, “Having the Trump endorsement, that just kind of seals the deal. And it means we just get to work to win the election against Democrats in November of ’26.” This kind of backing could be pivotal as Rogers looks to rally support once again.
Despite the formidable obstacles ahead, Bernadette Smith is undeterred in her pursuit. Yet, her entry into the race has sparked skepticism among political observers. Dennis Lennox, a veteran Republican consultant in Michigan who is not affiliated with Rogers, stated bluntly, “There’s a better chance of pigs flying than Bernadette Smith qualifying for the ballot or somehow winning in Michigan.” Such remarks highlight the steep hill Smith must climb if she wants to succeed.
Smith’s past may further hinder her campaign. She has a criminal record, having pleaded no contest to felony welfare fraud. Additionally, over ten years ago, she was convicted for a car accident that resulted in serious injury to a 10-year-old boy. Such history raises concerns for voters who prioritize integrity and accountability in their candidates.
As the 2026 election approaches, the Republican primary in Michigan is shaping up to be a notable battleground. With a powerful figure like Rogers ready to defend his position, and a challenger like Smith seeking traction, the dynamics will be important to watch. Voter sentiment, candidate endorsements, and campaign strategies will all play a role in determining who emerges from this fierce contest.
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