A historic event unfolded in Washington, D.C., as President Donald Trump led a significant diplomatic signing that formalized a peace agreement between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). This agreement, described by Trump as the end of “one of the worst wars that anyone has ever seen,” aims to end almost 30 years of conflict in the mineral-rich eastern Congo. Alongside the peace pact, a massive minerals partnership was established, giving U.S. investors new opportunities to access critical resources in the region, which is crucial for realigning global supply chains away from China.

The dual agreements, signed by representatives from the U.S., Rwanda, and the DRC, aim to bring stability to a region long plagued by violence and foreign intervention. The Democratic Republic of Congo has been at the center of conflicts over valuable minerals, including cobalt and gold, primarily involving the Rwanda-backed M23 rebel group, which has been responsible for much of the unrest.

During the signing, Trump characterized the moment as “historic,” attributing the progress to strong leadership and determined diplomacy. He stated, “They were going at it for many years, and with machetes… it is one of the worst, one of the worst wars that anyone has ever seen.” His assertion reflects a bold claim about not only the severity of the conflict but also the significance of the agreements. He hinted at the benefits for the United States: “We’re getting, for the United States, a lot of the mineral rights from the Congo as part of it.”

The U.S.-brokered peace deal involves a phased withdrawal of Rwandan troops from eastern DRC within 90 days, amid ongoing tensions and accusations of Rwanda’s military presence facilitating the M23’s activities. Rwandan Foreign Minister Olivier Nduhungirehe praised the signing, describing it as a potential turning point for regional stability, while his Congolese counterpart Therese Kayikwamba Wagner emphasized the necessity of international commitment for the agreement’s success.

Despite these hopeful statements, the situation on the ground remains fragile. Over 1.3 million people have been displaced by renewed conflict, particularly since 2022. Even as leaders signed a ceremonial ceasefire, civilians in cities like Goma and Bukavu continue to face violence, inflation, and disruptions in services. Local residents express skepticism about the prospects of real change. “We are still at war,” said Amani Chibalonza Edith from Goma, reflecting deep-seated concerns that the agreements might not be enough to end the ongoing struggles.

Equally important is the economic aspect of the peace agreement. A separate deal aims to grant U.S. companies priority access to Congo’s mineral wealth, essential for producing crucial technologies. This move appears calculated to decrease U.S. dependence on China, which currently dominates cobalt processing and battery production. Under the new accord, the U.S. plans to assist in developing Congo’s mining infrastructure and promote transparency in mineral sourcing… striking at the heart of ongoing issues with corruption and mismanagement.

Market analysts suggest that the strategic value of access to Congo’s minerals cannot be understated, particularly in the context of anticipated increases in cobalt demand. With Congo housing about half of the world’s cobalt reserves, the deal is not just about peace but also U.S. technological competitiveness and security. Entry into more stable trade routes could improve the economic status of the DRC, where poverty is pervasive… 60% of citizens live below the poverty line.

However, this optimism is tempered by past experiences. Previous agreements have often collapsed shortly after being signed, leading to skepticism among observers and local populations. The current agreement promises monitoring mechanisms, including an international observer corps and satellite tracking, to ensure compliance. Yet, the effectiveness of such measures remains to be seen. Yolande Makolo, a senior advisor to Rwandan President Paul Kagame, articulated the cautious outlook: “We are under no illusion that this is going to be easy. This is not the end, but it’s a good step.”

The path ahead is fraught with challenges, including the formal withdrawal of Rwandan forces and disarmament of M23 rebels. Future discussions and engagements in Washington are poised to address infrastructure financing, further intertwining U.S. interests with the region’s stability.

Ultimately, the success of these agreements will hinge on the U.S. commitment to enforcing the terms established in Washington. Whether this historic signing leads to lasting peace or simply repeats the cycle of conflict will depend on active and sustained engagement at high levels, with the consequences of failure bearing significant implications for both the U.S. and the DRC.

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