Former President Donald Trump has plenty of reasons to celebrate today as a report from The Economic Times has revealed that the election forecast from Nate Silver has him blowing past his rival for the White Houses, Vice President Kamala Harris. Not only that, but Silver believes that Trump can also remain in the lead in future polls as well. Contrast that with the numerous news stories being pushed by the mainstream media that have Harris in a sizable lead over the former president and the left-wing bias is clear as day.
#Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (chance of winning)
🟥 Trump: 53.1%
🟦 Harris: 46.6%
——
Swing States: chance of winningPennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 52-48%
Nevada – 🔴 Trump 53-47%
Arizona – 🔴 Trump 62-38%
Georgia – 🔴 Trump 64-36%
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 66-34%
Wisconsin – 🔵… https://t.co/o6kEYBvXHQ pic.twitter.com/nL9ZWHc9kr— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 30, 2024
For those who might not know a whole lot about Nate Silver, he’s a prominent and well respected figure in the American media and his predictions carry massive weight in the realm of politics. That means when he says Trump is ahead in the polls, people believe that rather than the heavily biased reports coming out in the news.
Nate Silver’s latest forecast comes in when the US poll race is currently at its most intense period. His prediction is quite different from that of other surveys and polls in the recent scenario. Trump was convincingly ahead in the US poll race 2024, when Donald Trump was the Democratic Party candidate, and had even displayed a dominant performance in the US Presidential Debate 2024. However, from the moment Joe Biden withdrew from the election race, and Kamala Harris was endorsed in his place instead, the situation around the political landscape changed very suddenly, as surveys and polls revealed that Harris is edging over Trump, even in the key swing states of the US.
Nate Silver has brought in some great news for the Republican camp with his prediction, as other polls have all predicted Trump’s chances slumping in the US polls. Some polls even claimed that Trump may end up conceding even the Republican stronghold areas, which may have never happened before in history. The Democratic National Convention 2024 ended up being the peak point for Kamala Harris, but Silver’s forecast makes it feel like a lot of work is left to be done for the reigning VP of the United States.
Polling data has been under heavy scrutiny ever since the 2016 presidential election. During that cycle, Trump was making his first bid for the White House and lost the vast majority of polls done over the course of the race. His opponent, now twice-failed Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, was highly favored to be victorious and become the first female president in our nation’s history. The left thought it was a shoe-in.
And then Trump won.
After that, people wondered how in the world the polls get this all so wrong. Most of us stopped trusting polls years ago, but what happened in 2016 reinforced that belief and many others joined in on paying them little-to-no mind.
It looks like we still haven’t gotten it all straightened out yet.
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