We’re only a few weeks away from the general election where we’ll choose the next president to lead our nation, not to mention choose candidates from either party to populate the House and Senate, picking which side will have control of Congress. And, shockingly, the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in critical battleground states such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are very tight. These three states used to be Democratic Party strongholds that were just assumed to be going to the leftist candidate. However, things might end up going a different direction this time around.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Quinnipiac (2-Way)
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 51% [+5]
🟦 Harris: 47% [-4]
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WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump: 49% [+1]
🟦 Harris: 47% [-2]
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PENNSYLVANIA
🟦 Harris: 49% [-2]
🟥 Trump: 47% [+1][+/- change vs 9/12-16]
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#17 (2.8/3.0) | 10/3-7 | 3,902 LVhttps://t.co/Ewt2zNKmDw pic.twitter.com/oRj9v6JDM0— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 9, 2024
In a poll from Quinnipiac University that was published on September 18, Harris held the lead in Pennsylvania, was a bit ahead of Trump in Michigan, and the race in Wisconsin was completely tied.
Here’s more info on the poll concerning how Trump compares to Harris on the issues:
The economy:
- PA: 49 percent say Trump, while 47 percent say Harris;
- MI: 53 percent say Trump, while 45 percent say Harris;
- WI: 53 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Harris.
Immigration:
- PA: 50 percent say Trump, while 46 percent say Harris;
- MI: 53 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Harris;
- WI: 52 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Harris.
Preserving democracy in the United States:
- PA: 44 percent say Trump, while 50 percent say Harris;
- MI: 49 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris;
- WI: 47 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris.
Abortion:
- PA: 37 percent say Trump, while 55 percent say Harris;
- MI: 40 percent say Trump, while 52 percent say Harris;
- WI: 39 percent say Trump, while 53 percent say Harris.
The conflict in the Middle East:
- PA: 47 percent say Trump, while 46 percent say Harris;
- MI: 53 percent say Trump, while 43 percent say Harris;
- WI: 51 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Harris.
In the state of Pennsylvania, a total of 49 percent of likely voters say they are backing Harris while 46 percent say Trump and the independent candidates are each only pulling in one percent.
This compares to September when Harris led with 51 percent support, Trump received 45 percent support, and Stein and Oliver each received 1 percent support. In today’s poll, Democrats 94 – 4 percent support Harris, while Republicans 90 – 9 percent support Trump. Among independents, 47 percent support Trump, 43 percent support Harris, and 3 percent support third- party candidates (2 percent support Stein and 1 percent support Oliver). In a hypothetical two-way race, Harris receives 49 percent support and Trump receives 47 percent support.
Let’s swing over to Michigan and see what’s up in that neck of the woods.
In Michigan, 50 percent of likely voters support Trump, 47 percent support Harris, and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver and independent candidate Cornel West each receive 1 percent support. This compares to September when Harris received 50 percent support, Trump received 45 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein received 2 percent support. In today’s poll, Republicans 96 – 3 percent back Trump, while Democrats 98 – 1 percent back Harris. Independents are divided, with 48 percent supporting Trump, 46 percent supporting Harris, and 3 percent supporting independent or third-party candidates (2 percent support West and 1 percent support Oliver).
In a two-way race where the major party candidates are the only ones in the contest, Trump gets 51 percent of the vote while Harris gets 47 percent.
A total of 48 percent of voters in Wisconsin have said they will throw their support behind Trump while 46 percent say they are voting for Harris. In September, Harris got 48 percent support while Trump had 47 percent.
In today’s poll, Republicans 95 – 4 percent support Trump, while Democrats 98 – 2 percent support Harris. Independents are split, with 47 percent supporting Trump, 43 percent supporting Harris, and 3 percent supporting third-party candidates (2 percent support Stein and 1 percent support Oliver).
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