If Democrats thought the absolute shellacking they took last November during the 2024 election cycle was just a fluke and that people are dissatisfied with Trump and Republicans thus far, providing an opportunity for them to bounce back in future races, they are sorely mistaken.
Early polling in the 2026 New Hampshire Senate race indicates that former GOP Gov. Chris Sununu has a huge lead over Democratic Congressman Chris Pappas in a hypothetical contest for the Senate. As of now, neither of the candidates have announced an intention to run, so keep that in mind.
However, the point is Republicans are still making super strong showings in polling data, disproving the false narrative that individuals are having buyer’s remorse about casting a ballot for President Donald Trump.
The survey was conducted by Quantus Insights.
“Sununu’s early advantage is driven by overwhelming Republican support (94%), a solid lead among independents (52% to 44%), and a commanding performance among men (59% to 39%). Women are evenly split at 48%, while Sununu holds a key advantage among non-college voters (58%), a critical demographic in recent New Hampshire elections,” Quantus Insights is reporting.
When the American people informed liberal Democrats we were truly done with their crap, we meant it. It’s a point the left doesn’t want to acknowledge. Which is not surprising. The very essence of liberal thought is to check your brain at the door and follow the emotions gushing forth from your bleeding heart.
This matchup reflects a broader rightward shift in the state. In 2024, Donald Trump lost New Hampshire to Kamala Harris by 2.8 points, a marked improvement from his 7.3-point defeat to Joe Biden in 2020. While New Hampshire has long been a political battleground, this data suggests shifting electoral terrain—one where Sununu’s popularity and crossover appeal could make the Senate seat a formidable challenge for Democrats to defend.
Yet, national dynamics remain uncertain. Trump’s approval rating in the state sits at 43.8% approve, 48.5% disapprove, with deep partisan divides. He retains strong backing among Republicans (83% approve) but struggles with independents (37% approve, 54% disapprove), a crucial voting bloc in New Hampshire. The challenge for Republicans will be translating Sununu’s personal appeal into broader GOP momentum, particularly if national headwinds intensify in 2026.
Political volatility is pretty common place in the state of New Hampshire. It’s critical to remember that this race isn’t even close to being over. In fact, it’s not really gotten started just yet.
If these two do toss their hats in the ring, Democrats will work tirelessly to find ways to close the gap between the candidates, while the GOP will try to ensure Sununu’s coalition is able to hold strong all the way through election day.
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