One of the many, many excuses liberals have offered up as to why former Vice President Kamala Harris was defeated so soundly in the 2024 election by President Donald Trump is that not enough Democrats got off their a***s to go vote at the polls. Well, a new report from the New York Times just took a sledgehammer to that theory.
According to the report, the reasoning isn’t completely without merit, as turnout in Democratic areas did drop, but it’s not enough to account for the massive victory Trump secured, which resulted in the greatest comeback win in the history of American politics.
But much to the chagrin of Democrats everywhere, new data is suggesting that if everyone actually had showed up to vote, President Trump would have done even better.
This is going to give the left a bad case of the bubble guts.
via NY Times:
The new data, including a new study from Pew Research released Thursday, instead offers a more dispiriting explanation for Democrats: Young, nonwhite and irregular voters defected by the millions to Mr. Trump, costing Ms. Harris both the Electoral College and the popular vote.
The findings suggest that Mr. Trump’s brand of conservative populism once again turned politics-as-usual upside down, as his gains among disengaged voters deprived Democrats of their traditional advantage with this group, who are disproportionately young and nonwhite.
For a generation, the assumption that Democrats benefit from high turnout has underpinned the hopes and machinations of both parties, from Republican support for restrictive voting laws to Democratic hopes of mobilizing a new progressive coalition of young and nonwhite voters. It’s not clear whether Democrats will struggle with irregular voters in the future, but the data nonetheless essentially ends the debate about whether Ms. Harris lost because she alienated swing voters or because she failed to energize her base. In the end, Democrats alienated voters whose longtime support they might have taken for granted.
The president took home the “W” last November with just under half of the vote, with a total of 49.7 percent to Harris’s 48.2 percent. A total of 64 percent of those eligible to vote turned out to cast a ballot in the election, which is the second highest number since 1904, according to WBUR.
“The survey of almost 9,000 voters was conducted in the weeks after the 2024 presidential election. Pew verified whether they had voted or not over the last five presidential elections using publicly available commercial voter files. For context, most well-conducted national polls include roughly 1,000 interviews,” the article said.
Pew asked non-voters who they would have cast their ballot for if they would have participated in the election. The numbers were in favor of Trump, 44 percent to 40 percent, increasing the size of the president’s victory over Harris. She would have still gotten demolished.
In other words, the long-held belief that bigger voter turnout is guaranteed to help the left has been proven to be a myth.
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